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Mariners vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Padres MLB game on April 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
6
7
Apr 16, 1:40AM Petco Park
Apr 16, 1:40AM Petco Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mariners | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jackson Merrill doubles to shallow left field. Ramón Laureano scores. Luis Campusano scores.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Donovan | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 2 | C. Raleigh | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 0.900 |
| 3 | J. Rodríguez | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 4 | J. Naylor | 1B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | R. Arozarena | LF | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.350 |
| 6 | L. Raley | RF | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .800 | 2.400 |
| 7 | D. Canzone | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.900 |
| 8 | C. Young | 2B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 9 | L. Rivas | SS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Laureano | LF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 2 | J. Merrill | CF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 3 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 4 | M. Machado | 3B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | G. Sheets | DH | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| 6 | N. Castellanos | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | T. France | 1B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 8 | F. Tatis | PH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | L. Campusano | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
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Mariners vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mariners vs. Padres
- Date: Wednesday, April 15, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- Venue: Petco Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mariners +113, Padres -102
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mariners: 52%
- Padres: 48%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 52%, while the Padres have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Petco Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mariners vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
