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D-Backs vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Phillies MLB game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Apr 11, 5:05PM Citizens Bank Park
Apr 11, 5:05PM Citizens Bank Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D-Backs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | X | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jorge Barrosa strikes out on a foul tip.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Marte | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 2 | C. Carroll | DH | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 3 | G. Perdomo | SS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 4 | A. Del Castillo | C | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.500 |
| 5 | J. Fernandez | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | N. Arenado | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | T. Tawa | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 8 | A. Thomas | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.167 |
| 9 | J. Barrosa | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 4 | B. Marsh | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | B. Stott | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 6 | A. García | RF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 7 | J. Realmuto | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | A. Bohm | 3B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | J. Crawford | CF | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.500 |
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D-Backs vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: D-Backs vs. Phillies
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 1:05 PM ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: D-Backs +115, Phillies -115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- D-Backs: 55%
- Phillies: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 55%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the D-Backs are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our D-Backs vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
