Phillies vs. Braves: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Braves MLB game on Saturday, September 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Tim Mayza 3-3, 3.23 ERA
2
12
Truist Park
Braves
Tyler Mahle 5-10, 4.05 ERA
Truist Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 7 2
Braves
0 0 0 8 0 1 0 3 X 12 13 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Braves
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alec Bohm lines out to first base to Dominic Smith.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4000002.0000.000
2 B. De La Cruz RF1000000.0000.000
3 R. Marchán C1000000.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B4000000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 1B4020000.5001.000
6 B. Stott 3B3000000.0000.000
7 B. Marsh LF3000000.0000.000
8 E. Sosa SS1000000.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF3111100.3331.666
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Baldwin DH5112002.2000.600
2 D. Keirsey CF11100001.0002.000
3 D. Smith 1B0000000.0000.000
4 O. Albies 2B3211011.3331.067
5 B. Hicklen RF0000000.0000.000
6 M. Dubón LF4112001.2500.650
7 K. Farmer 3B1000000.0000.000
8 S. Murphy C3110011.3331.167
9 H. Kim SS3100011.0000.250

Phillies vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM ET
  • Venue: Truist Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (+1.5, -163), Braves (-1.5, +160)
  • Moneyline: Phillies +127, Braves -127
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 45.8%
  • Braves: 54.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 45.8%, while the Braves have a win probability of 54.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Truist Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.