Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Marlins MLB game on August 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 11-5, 4.08 ERA
13
1
loanDepot park
Marlins
Tyler Phillips 3-5, 3.47 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 5 13 16 1
Marlins
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • Marlins
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jakob Marsee lines out to deep center field to Jake Mangum.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Horwitz 1B6020001.3330.666
2 B. Lowe DH6010003.1670.334
3 J. Garcia LF1000000.0000.000
4 N. Gonzales 2B4120010.5001.100
5 E. Valdez RF5220001.4000.800
6 J. Brannigan 3B0000000.0000.000
7 J. Mangum CF4331000.7502.300
8 J. Triolo SS4333111.7502.300
9 R. Flores C5226202.4002.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF4010001.2500.500
2 X. Edwards 2B2000010.0000.333
3 O. Lopez SS3000001.0000.000
4 G. Pauley 3B1000001.0000.000
5 A. Ramírez C3000001.0000.000
6 L. Jiménez 1B3000002.0000.000
7 O. Caissie RF3111102.3331.666
8 J. Sanoja P3000000.0000.000
9 E. Ruiz LF3000001.0000.000

Pirates vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Marlins
  • Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates -115, Marlins +115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 47%
  • Marlins: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 47%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.