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Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Red Sox MLB game on April 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
8
6
Apr 5, 5:35PM Fenway Park
Apr 5, 5:35PM Fenway Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Laureano | LF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | F. Tatis | RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 1.067 |
| 3 | J. Merrill | CF | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .600 | 1.800 |
| 4 | M. Machado | 3B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 5 | M. Andujar | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 6 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.333 |
| 7 | T. France | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | F. Fermin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Anthony | DH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 2 | T. Story | SS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 3 | J. Duran | LF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .200 | 0.600 |
| 4 | W. Contreras | 1B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 5 | W. Abreu | RF | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 2.250 |
| 6 | C. Rafaela | CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | C. Durbin | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 8 | M. Mayer | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | C. Narváez | C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
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Padres vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Padres vs. Red Sox
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET
- Venue: Fenway Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Padres +147, Red Sox -144
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Padres: 41%
- Red Sox: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 41%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Padres vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
