Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Pirates MLB game on July 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Shane Drohan 4-2, 2.97 ERA
2
3
PNC Park
Pirates
Bubba Chandler 3-8, 4.82 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 7 0
Pirates
0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 X 3 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
William Contreras called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Yelich DH3010012.3330.933
2 J. Chourio LF5110002.2000.400
3 B. Turang 2B5012001.2000.600
4 W. Contreras PH1000001.0000.000
5 G. Sánchez C2000020.0000.500
6 G. Mitchell CF4010000.2500.500
7 L. Lara RF3010011.3330.833
8 C. Pratt SS4000000.0000.000
9 A. Vaughn 3B1000000.0000.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Gonzales 3B4000000.0000.000
2 B. Lowe 2B4120002.5001.250
3 B. Reynolds RF3121010.6671.750
4 J. Mangum LF0000000.0000.000
5 R. O'Hearn 1B3000000.0000.250
6 M. Ozuna DH3000001.0000.000
7 H. Davis C0000000.0000.000
8 J. Triolo SS3000000.0000.000
9 B. Cook CF3010001.3330.666

Brewers vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brewers vs. Pirates
  • Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Brewers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Brewers -135, Pirates 43¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brewers: 53%
  • Pirates: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 53%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at PNC Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.