Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Cubs MLB game on July 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore 4-5, 5.34 ERA
4
6
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Javier Assad 6-1, 4.53 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 4 7 2
Cubs
2 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 X 6 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nelson Velázquez lines out to shortstop to Dansby Swanson.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4220000.5001.000
2 I. Herrera C4000003.0000.000
3 A. Burleson 1B4120000.5001.000
4 J. Walker RF2114110.5002.500
5 L. Nootbaar LF4000000.0000.000
6 M. Winn SS3010010.3330.833
7 N. Church CF4010001.2500.500
8 J. Fermín 3B3000011.0000.250
9 N. Velázquez DH2000000.0000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4120001.5001.100
2 A. Bregman 3B4111001.2500.750
3 S. Suzuki RF4000001.0000.000
4 C. Kelly C2110021.5001.250
5 M. Busch 1B2110000.5001.250
6 N. Hoerner 2B3112001.3330.583
7 I. Happ LF3000001.0000.250
8 D. Swanson SS4110000.2500.500
9 P. Ramirez DH1001000.0000.000

Cardinals vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cardinals vs. Cubs
  • Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cardinals 43¢, Cubs 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cardinals: 40%
  • Cubs: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 40%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.