Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Cubs MLB game on July 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cardinals
Kyle Leahy 6-4, 4.09 ERA
3
0
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Shota Imanaga 5-6, 4.30 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 8 0
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Pedro Ramirez grounds out to shallow infield. Michael Conforto out at second.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4131111.7502.550
2 I. Herrera DH3011001.3330.833
3 J. Walker RF3110011.3331.167
4 A. Burleson 1B4021002.5001.000
5 M. Winn SS4000002.0000.000
6 J. Fermín 3B4010001.2500.500
7 L. Nootbaar LF4000002.0000.000
8 P. Pagés C4000002.0000.000
9 N. Church CF2100021.0000.500
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF10100201.0002.000
2 A. Bregman 3B3000011.0000.250
3 M. Busch 1B4000002.0000.000
4 S. Suzuki DH4000003.0000.000
5 I. Happ LF4010001.2500.500
6 N. Hoerner 2B4010001.2500.500
7 M. Conforto RF3020011.6671.417
8 P. Ramirez PH1000000.0000.000
9 D. Swanson SS3000002.0000.000

Cardinals vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cardinals vs. Cubs
  • Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Time: 8:08 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8
  • Moneyline Odds: Cardinals 40¢, Cubs 21¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cardinals: 40%
  • Cubs: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 40%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.