Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Phillies MLB game on July 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Jared Jones 1-1, 5.76 ERA
6
1
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Alan Rangel 0-1, 4.50 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 1 6 14 0
Phillies
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Bryson Stott called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum LF5230001.6001.400
2 B. Lowe 2B4120011.5001.100
3 B. Reynolds RF4010012.2500.650
4 B. Cook CF0000000.0000.000
5 R. O'Hearn 1B5010002.2000.600
6 N. Gonzales 3B5132100.6001.800
7 M. Ozuna DH3010022.3330.933
8 E. Rodríguez C4111112.2501.400
9 J. Triolo SS4000011.0000.200
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4010002.2500.500
2 K. Schwarber DH3000012.0000.250
3 B. Harper 1B4011001.2500.750
4 B. Marsh LF4000001.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 3B4010001.2500.750
6 B. Stott 2B4010002.2500.500
7 G. Rincones RF3000001.0000.000
8 J. Crawford CF3000000.0000.000
9 R. Marchán C2100010.0000.333

Pirates vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Phillies
  • Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
  • Time: 12:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 10.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates 46¢, Phillies -122

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 46%
  • Phillies: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 46%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.