Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara in the World Cup on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Tigres UANL
0
2
May 10, 1:07 AM
Guadalajara
May 10, 1:07 AM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
S. Sandoval (74')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sandoval (77')
Soccer ball icon
F. Reyes (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UANL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
F. Reyes (Tigres UANL) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces S. Sandoval
90'
Yellow Card
R. Guerrero (Tigres UANL) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Gignac (Tigres UANL) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
F. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: G. Sepulveda replaces R. Ledezma
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Aguayo replaces R. Marin
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: M. Flores replaces J. Garza
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Gignac replaces J. Angulo
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by S. Sandoval, assisted by O. Govea
0-2
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by S. Sandoval
0-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces J. Castillo
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: R. Guerrero replaces J. Vigon
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: V. Lorona replaces R. Aguirre
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Lainez replaces D. A. Sanchez Guevara
44'
Yellow Card
J. Garza (Tigres UANL) cautioned

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Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 9:07 PM ET
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +260, Guadalajara +115, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 33.7%
  • Guadalajara: 39.5%
  • Draw: 26.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Tigres UANL 1-1 Guadalajara.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.5%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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