Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
0
2
May 9, 9:07 PM ET
Guadalajara
May 9, 9:07 PM ET
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
S. Sandoval (74')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sandoval (77')
Soccer ball icon
F. Reyes (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
F. Reyes (Tigres UANL) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces S. Sandoval
90'
Yellow Card
R. Guerrero (Tigres UANL) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Gignac (Tigres UANL) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
F. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: G. Sepulveda replaces R. Ledezma
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Aguayo replaces R. Marin
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: M. Flores replaces J. Garza
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Gignac replaces J. Angulo
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by S. Sandoval, assisted by O. Govea
0-2
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by S. Sandoval
0-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces J. Castillo
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: R. Guerrero replaces J. Vigon
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: V. Lorona replaces R. Aguirre
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Lainez replaces D. A. Sanchez Guevara
44'
Yellow Card
J. Garza (Tigres UANL) cautioned

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 9:07 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +260, Guadalajara +115, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 33.7%
  • Guadalajara: 39.5%
  • Draw: 26.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Guadalajara (12.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.5%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.