San Luis vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on February 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

San Luis

Feb 6, 8:00 PM ET Estadio Victoria

Necaxa

Feb 6, 8:00 PM ET Estadio Victoria

NecaxaNEC

Score Summary

San LuisASL

J. Carranza (4')

T. Badaloni (59')

A. Pena (66')

R. Monreal (73')

Robson Bambu (45')

Joao Pedro Galvao (pen.) (90')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Necaxa
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
San Luis
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao (pen.)

1-4

90'

L. Faravelli (Necaxa) cautioned

83'

Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces A. Pena

82'

Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces I. Tello

82'

Substitution for Necaxa: R. Alonso replaces F. Rossano

80'

Substitution for Atl. San Luis: L. Flores replaces M. Garcia

80'

Substitution for Atl. San Luis: F. Barajas replaces R. Meraz

80'

Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces A. Duarte

73'

Goal scored for Necaxa by R. Monreal, assisted by F. Rossano

0-4

66'

Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Pena, assisted by D. Leyva

0-3

61'

Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces A. E. Almendra

59'

Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by F. Rossano

0-2

57'

Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces J. Carranza

46'

Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Torres replaces S. Perez

46'

Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Duarte replaces B. Galdames

45'

Robson Bambu (Atl. San Luis) sent off for a second yellow card

30'

J. Carranza (Necaxa) cautioned

29'

Robson Bambu (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza, assisted by F. Rossano

0-1

San Luis vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: San Luis vs. Necaxa
Date: Friday, February 6, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

Moneyline: San Luis +180, Necaxa +155, draw +230
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-118)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

San Luis: 28.6%
Necaxa: 48.1%
Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Luis 1-1 Necaxa (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win San Luis vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.1%.

The most likely correct score is San Luis 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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