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San Luis vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for San Luis vs. Necaxa at the Liga MX on February 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
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4
Feb 7, 1AM Estadio Victoria
Feb 7, 1AM Estadio Victoria
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
J. Carranza (4')
T. Badaloni (59')
A. Pena (66')
R. Monreal (73')
Robson Bambu (45')
Joao Pedro Galvao (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao (pen.)
1-4
L. Faravelli (Necaxa) cautioned
Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces A. Pena
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces I. Tello
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Alonso replaces F. Rossano
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: L. Flores replaces M. Garcia
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: F. Barajas replaces R. Meraz
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces A. Duarte
Goal scored for Necaxa by R. Monreal, assisted by F. Rossano
0-4
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Pena, assisted by D. Leyva
0-3
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces A. E. Almendra
Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by F. Rossano
0-2
Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces J. Carranza
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Torres replaces S. Perez
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Duarte replaces B. Galdames
Robson Bambu (Atl. San Luis) sent off for a second yellow card
J. Carranza (Necaxa) cautioned
Robson Bambu (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza, assisted by F. Rossano
0-1
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San Luis vs. Necaxa: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' San Luis vs. Necaxa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: San Luis vs. Necaxa
- Date: Friday, February 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Victoria
- Tournament: Liga MX
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: San Luis +180, Necaxa +155, draw +230
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-118)
Dimers' win probabilities
- San Luis: 28.6%
- Necaxa: 48.1%
- Draw: 23.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Luis 1-1 Necaxa, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
San Luis is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.6% probability, while Necaxa sits at 48.1%, with the draw at 23.3%.
For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' San Luis vs. Necaxa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.
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