Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid in the World Cup on May 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Atletico Madrid
2
1
May 12, 7:30 PM Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
May 12, 7:30 PM Estadio El Sadar
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
K. Barja (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Lookman (pen.) (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sorloth (71')
Soccer ball icon
M. Llorente (79')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
OSA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by K. Barja, assisted by R. Garcia
2-1
90'
Yellow Card
F. Boyomo (Osasuna) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
R. Le Normand (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
D. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Lenglet replaces A. Lookman
79'
Red Card
M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) sent off for a second yellow card
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Oroz replaces L. Torro
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Osambela replaces M. Gomez
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth, assisted by M. Llorente
2-0
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces R. Garcia
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces J. Galan
59'
Yellow Card
M. Pubill (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
K. Barja (Osasuna) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces T. Almada
45'
Yellow Card
A. Budimir (Osasuna) cautioned
37'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces R. Moro
30'
Yellow Card
R. Garcia (Osasuna) cautioned
18'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces R. Mendoza
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Lookman (pen.)
1-0
14'
Yellow Card
J. Galan (Osasuna) cautioned

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Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +165, Atletico Madrid +165, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Osasuna: 36.1%
  • Atletico Madrid: 38.0%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Osasuna 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.0%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.