Girona vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on May 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
1
:
1
May 14, 2:00 PM ET Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
May 14, 2:00 PM ET Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
C. Stuani (66')
Soccer ball icon
J. Martin (28')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
G. Carrera (Real Sociedad) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces Y. Herrera
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes replaces J. Aramburu
82'
Yellow Card
D. Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces V. Tsygankov
76'
Yellow Card
J. Roca (Girona) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
S. Gomez (Real Sociedad) cautioned
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by C. Stuani, assisted by A. Martinez
1-1
62'
Yellow Card
A. Frances (Girona) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
M. Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Carrera replaces T. Kubo
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: C. Soler replaces J. Gorrotxategi
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: F. Beltran replaces A. Witsel
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: T. Lemar replaces I. Martin
53'
Yellow Card
J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces B. Gil
34'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces A. Barrenetxea
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by J. Martin, assisted by S. Gomez
1-0
12'
Yellow Card
A. Barrenetxea (Real Sociedad) cautioned

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Girona vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona -105, Real Sociedad +270, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 46.7%
  • Real Sociedad: 28.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Real Sociedad (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Girona vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Girona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.7%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Girona vs. Real Sociedad, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.