Girona vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on May 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
1
:
1
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
C. Stuani (66')
Soccer ball icon
J. Martin (28')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Yellow Card
    G. Carrera (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces Y. Herrera
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes replaces J. Aramburu
  5. 82'
    Yellow Card
    D. Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces V. Tsygankov
  7. 76'
    Yellow Card
    J. Roca (Girona) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    S. Gomez (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  9. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by C. Stuani, assisted by A. Martinez
    1-1
  10. 62'
    Yellow Card
    A. Frances (Girona) cautioned
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    M. Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Carrera replaces T. Kubo
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: C. Soler replaces J. Gorrotxategi
  14. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: F. Beltran replaces A. Witsel
  15. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: T. Lemar replaces I. Martin
  16. 53'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces B. Gil
  18. 34'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces A. Barrenetxea
  19. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by J. Martin, assisted by S. Gomez
    1-0
  20. 12'
    Yellow Card
    A. Barrenetxea (Real Sociedad) cautioned

Girona vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona -105, Real Sociedad +270, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 46.7%
  • Real Sociedad: 28.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Real Sociedad (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Girona vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Girona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.7%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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