Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on May 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
1
:
1
May 14, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
May 14, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de Mestalla
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
D. Lopez (40')
Soccer ball icon
F. Lejeune (20')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Valencia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Ratiu replaces I. Balliu
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces G. Gumbau
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces J. Gaya
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Ciss replaces O. Valentin
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: L. Ramazani replaces J. Guerra
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: U. Sadiq replaces H. Duro
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: F. Ugrinic replaces Pepelu
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces R. Nteka
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. de Frutos replaces F. Perez
56'
Yellow Card
R. Nteka (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by D. Lopez, assisted by J. Guerra
1-1
32'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: U. Nunez replaces Renzo Saravia
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by F. Lejeune, assisted by G. Gumbau
1-0
8'
Penalty missed by R. Nteka for Rayo Vallecano
6'
Yellow Card
Renzo Saravia (Valencia) cautioned

Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia +125, Rayo Vallecano +280, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-159)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Valencia: 44.3%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 28.4%
  • Draw: 27.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Valencia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.3%.

The most likely correct score is Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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