Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona La Liga match on May 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Girona
1
:
1
May 11, 3:00 PM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
May 11, 3:00 PM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
GironaGIR
Alemao (86')
Soccer ball icon
C. Stuani (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Girona
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by C. Stuani, assisted by V. Tsygankov
1-1
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Alemao, assisted by U. Lopez
0-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces F. Beltran
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces A. Martinez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces S. Camello
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: C. Martin replaces J. de Frutos
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces T. Lemar
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: I. Martin replaces A. Ounahi
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces F. Perez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces P. Diaz
44'
Yellow Card
P. Diaz (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

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Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona
  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +130, Girona +240, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 39.8%
  • Girona: 33.1%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Girona (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.8%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Girona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.