Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona at the La Liga on May 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Girona
1
:
1
May 11, 7PM Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
May 11, 7PM Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
GironaGIR
Alemao (86')
Soccer ball icon
C. Stuani (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RVC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
GIR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by C. Stuani, assisted by V. Tsygankov
1-1
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Alemao, assisted by U. Lopez
0-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces F. Beltran
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces A. Martinez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces S. Camello
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: C. Martin replaces J. de Frutos
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces T. Lemar
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: I. Martin replaces A. Ounahi
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces F. Perez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces P. Diaz
44'
Yellow Card
P. Diaz (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

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Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona
  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +130, Girona +240, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-114)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 39.8%
  • Girona: 33.1%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Girona, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 39.8% probability, while Girona sits at 33.1%, with the draw at 27.1%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Girona prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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