Elche vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Alaves La Liga match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
:
1
May 9, 8:00 AM ET
Elche
May 9, 8:00 AM ET
ElcheELC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Rodriguez (72')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (pen.) (51')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: H. Fort replaces G. Valera
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces A. Rebbach
90'
Yellow Card
J. Donald (Elche) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
G. Diangana (Elche) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
A. Rebbach (Alaves) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: J. Donald replaces M. Aguado
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Buba Sangare replaces V. Chust
82'
Yellow Card
E. Sarabia (Elche) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces J. Guridi
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces I. Diabate
78'
Yellow Card
A. Sivera (Alaves) cautioned
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Elche by A. Rodriguez, assisted by Josan
1-1
69'
Yellow Card
I. Diabate (Alaves) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Josan replaces Tete Morente
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: G. Diangana replaces A. Febas
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces T. Martinez
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez (pen.)
1-0
50'
Yellow Card
A. Febas (Elche) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces P. Ibanez
33'
Yellow Card
Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
12'
Yellow Card
P. Ibanez (Alaves) cautioned

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Elche vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +130, Alaves +240, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 43.9%
  • Alaves: 30.5%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Alaves (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Elche vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Elche is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.9%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Elche vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.