Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
May 9, 12:30 PM ET Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
May 9, 12:30 PM ET Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
B. Iglesias (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
77'
Yellow Card
F. Lopez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces W. Swedberg
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: O. Vargas replaces A. Baena
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Cubo replaces R. Le Normand
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Jutgla replaces B. Iglesias
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces P. Duran
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces A. Nunez
66'
Yellow Card
A. Baena (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias, assisted by W. Swedberg
1-0
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Griezmann
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces A. Lookman
20'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces J. M. Gimenez
19'
Yellow Card
I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned

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Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -115, Celta Vigo +340, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 49.9%
  • Celta Vigo: 26.2%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Celta Vigo (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.9%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.