Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo at the La Liga on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
Start your FREE 3-Day trial of Dimers Pro
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
May 9, 4:30PM Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
May 9, 4:30PM Metropolitano Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
B. Iglesias (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RCC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
77'
Yellow Card
F. Lopez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces W. Swedberg
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: O. Vargas replaces A. Baena
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Cubo replaces R. Le Normand
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Jutgla replaces B. Iglesias
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces P. Duran
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces A. Nunez
66'
Yellow Card
A. Baena (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias, assisted by W. Swedberg
1-0
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Griezmann
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces A. Lookman
20'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces J. M. Gimenez
19'
Yellow Card
I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $20 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5+ Get $100 in Bonus Bets Instantly!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5 Get $150 If Your Bet Wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Trade to get up to $100 in Bonuses!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $200 Win or Lose
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -115, Celta Vigo +340, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 49.9%
  • Celta Vigo: 26.2%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Celta Vigo, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 49.9% probability, while Celta Vigo sits at 26.2%, with the draw at 23.9%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.