Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
2
0
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Estadio de Mestalla
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
I. Luque (74')
Soccer ball icon
M. Cubo (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Valencia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Puric replaces J. Bonar
  2. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Cubo, assisted by A. Griezmann
    2-0
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Raba replaces Renzo Saravia
  4. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by I. Luque, assisted by O. Vargas
    1-0
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces T. Almada
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces R. Mendoza
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: A. Danjuma replaces L. Ramazani
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces J. Gaya
  9. 67'
    Yellow Card
    C. Tarrega (Valencia) cautioned
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Cubo replaces J. Morcillo
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: I. Luque replaces R. Belaid
  12. 61'
    Yellow Card
    O. Vargas (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces F. Ugrinic
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Lopez replaces L. Rioja
  15. 52'
    Yellow Card
    R. Mendoza (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  16. 29'
    Yellow Card
    T. Almada (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia -135, Atletico Madrid +425, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/+102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Valencia: 48.5%
  • Atletico Madrid: 26.6%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Valencia 1-1 Atletico Madrid (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Valencia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.5%.

The most likely correct score is Valencia 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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