Espanyol vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Espanyol vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on May 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
0
RCDE Stadium
Espanyol
RCDE Stadium
EspanyolESP
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
Vinicius Junior (55')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (66')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Espanyol
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Yellow Card
    U. Gonzalez (Espanyol) cautioned
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: C. Palacios replaces Vinicius Junior
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Tchouameni
  4. 75'
    Yellow Card
    G. Garcia (Real Madrid) cautioned
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: Jofre replaces R. Terrats
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: K. Garcia replaces R. Fernandez Jaen
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: P. Milla replaces T. Dolan
  8. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by J. Bellingham
    2-0
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: A. Roca replaces R. Sanchez
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: C. Pickel replaces Exposito
  11. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by G. Garcia
    1-0
  12. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mastantuono replaces T. Pitarch
  13. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces B. Diaz
  14. 50'
    Yellow Card
    T. Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid) cautioned
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Exposito (Espanyol) cautioned
  16. 26'
    Yellow Card
    O. El Hilali (Espanyol) cautioned
  17. 23'
    Yellow Card
    Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
  18. 22'
    Yellow Card
    B. Diaz (Real Madrid) cautioned
  19. 14'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces F. Mendy

Espanyol vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Espanyol vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: RCDE Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Espanyol +360, Real Madrid -125, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Espanyol: 23.9%
  • Real Madrid: 53.7%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Espanyol 1-1 Real Madrid (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Espanyol vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.7%.

The most likely correct score is Espanyol 1-1 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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