Real Madrid vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Alaves in the World Cup on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Alaves
1
2
Apr 21, 7:30PM
Real Madrid
Apr 21, 7:30PM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
AlavesALA
K. Mbappe (30')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (50')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Perez (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Guevara
1-2
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Calebe replaces Yusi
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: I. Diabate replaces L. Boye
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Tchouameni
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Carvajal replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces J. Bellingham
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mastantuono replaces A. Guler
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces J. Guridi
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces D. Suarez
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by F. Valverde
0-2
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Rudiger replaces Eder Militao
35'
Yellow Card
A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by A. Guler
0-1

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Real Madrid vs. Alaves: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Alaves
  • Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -450, Alaves +1300, draw +650
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+275)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 76.5%
  • Alaves: 9.2%
  • Draw: 14.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Real Madrid 2-0 Alaves.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 76.5%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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