Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna La Liga match on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
0
1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
G. Guruzeta (16')
Soccer ball icon
M. Jauregizar (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    M. Jauregizar (Ath Bilbao) sent off for a second yellow card
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    I. Williams (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Gomez (Osasuna) cautioned
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces J. Moncayola
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces J. Herrando
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Boiro replaces Y. Berchiche
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces A. Oroz
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: D. Vivian replaces A. Laporte
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces L. Torro
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Moro replaces R. Garcia
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  12. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces N. Williams
  13. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. Sancet replaces A. Berenguer
  14. 57'
    Penalty missed by A. Budimir for Osasuna
  15. 48'
    Yellow Card
    A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned
  16. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta
    0-1
  17. 10'
    Yellow Card
    M. Jauregizar (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -115, Osasuna +360, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 50.2%
  • Osasuna: 24.1%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.2%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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