Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna La Liga match on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
0
1
Apr 21, 1:00 PM ET
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 21, 1:00 PM ET
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
G. Guruzeta (16')
Soccer ball icon
M. Jauregizar (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
M. Jauregizar (Ath Bilbao) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Yellow Card
I. Williams (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Gomez (Osasuna) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces J. Moncayola
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces J. Herrando
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Boiro replaces Y. Berchiche
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces A. Oroz
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: D. Vivian replaces A. Laporte
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces L. Torro
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Moro replaces R. Garcia
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces N. Williams
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. Sancet replaces A. Berenguer
57'
Penalty missed by A. Budimir for Osasuna
48'
Yellow Card
A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta
0-1
10'
Yellow Card
M. Jauregizar (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -115, Osasuna +360, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 50.2%
  • Osasuna: 24.1%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.2%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.