Villareal vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on April 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

LA LIGA

FINAL

LA LIGA

Celta Vigo

Apr 26, 3:00 PM ET Estadio de la Ceramica

Villareal

Apr 26, 3:00 PM ET Estadio de la Ceramica

VillarealVIL

Score Summary

Celta VigoRCC

G. Moreno (pen.) (2')

N. Pepe (29')

B. Iglesias (pen.) (73')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Villareal
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Celta Vigo
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces A. Moleiro

90'

I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned

85'

Substitution for Villarreal: A. Perez replaces G. Mikautadze

83'

Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Gonzalez replaces B. Iglesias

78'

Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces P. Gueye

78'

Substitution for Villarreal: A. Gonzalez replaces N. Pepe

78'

Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces A. Pedraza

76'

Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces M. Alonso

76'

Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Lopez replaces H. Sotelo

76'

Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Nunez replaces H. Alvarez

74'

B. Iglesias (Celta Vigo) cautioned

73'

Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias (pen.)

1-2

70'

P. Gueye (Villarreal) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Jutgla replaces P. Duran

45'

P. Duran (Celta Vigo) cautioned

42'

N. Pepe (Villarreal) cautioned

29'

Goal scored for Villarreal by N. Pepe, assisted by A. Pedraza

0-2

29'

I. Radu (Celta Vigo) cautioned

18'

A. Pedraza (Villarreal) cautioned

14'

M. Alonso (Celta Vigo) cautioned

Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno (pen.)

0-1

Villareal vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Villareal vs. Celta Vigo
Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Villareal -110, Celta Vigo +300, draw +290
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-143/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Villareal: 48.4%
Celta Vigo: 27.4%
Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Villareal 1-1 Celta Vigo (11.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Villareal vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.4%.

The most likely correct score is Villareal 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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