Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on April 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
LA LIGA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
3
:
3
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
S. Camello (30')
Soccer ball icon
F. Lejeune (84')
Soccer ball icon
Alemao (90')
Soccer ball icon
I. Palazon (90')
Red Card icon
M. Oyarzabal (22')
Soccer ball icon
O. Oskarsson (63')
Soccer ball icon
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Munoz replaces S. Gomez
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Soler (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Alemao, assisted by P. Diaz
    3-3
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Alemao (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  6. 90'
    Red Card
    I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
  7. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by F. Lejeune, assisted by I. Akhomach
    3-2
  8. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces U. Lopez
  9. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
    3-1
  10. 75'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  11. 69'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
  12. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces I. Palazon
  13. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Gorrotxategi replaces O. Oskarsson
  14. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: Y. Herrera replaces B. Turrientes
  15. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces C. Martin
  16. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. de Frutos replaces S. Camello
  17. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces N. Mendy
  18. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by O. Oskarsson, assisted by S. Gomez
    2-1
  19. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces T. Kubo
  20. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces A. Barrenetxea
  21. 56'
    Yellow Card
    O. Oskarsson (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  22. 49'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ciss (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  23. 45'
    Yellow Card
    S. Gomez (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  24. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello
    1-1
  25. 29'
    Yellow Card
    I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  26. 24'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
  27. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by A. Barrenetxea
    1-0

Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +170, Real Sociedad +170, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 35.5%
  • Real Sociedad: 38.4%
  • Draw: 26.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Sociedad (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.4%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.