Valencia vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on April 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
3
2
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Estadio de Mestalla
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
G. Rodriguez (12')
Soccer ball icon
G. Rodriguez (90')
Soccer ball icon
I. Moriba (56')
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F. Lopez (60')
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W. Swedberg (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Valencia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by G. Rodriguez, assisted by U. Sadiq
    3-2
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: Y. Lago replaces O. Mingueza
  3. 84'
    Yellow Card
    G. Rodriguez (Valencia) cautioned
  4. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by W. Swedberg, assisted by I. Moriba
    3-1
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: A. Danjuma replaces J. Gaya
  6. 71'
    Yellow Card
    H. Sotelo (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces F. Jutgla
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: L. Beltran replaces J. Guerra
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: U. Sadiq replaces H. Duro
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: F. Ugrinic replaces U. Nunez
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: T. Rendall replaces A. Almeida
  12. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Lopez, assisted by W. Swedberg
    2-1
  13. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by I. Moriba
    1-1
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. El Abdellaoui replaces J. Rodriguez
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Alvarez
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Lopez replaces P. Duran
  17. 44'
    Yellow Card
    M. Alonso (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  18. 43'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  19. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by G. Rodriguez
    0-1

Valencia vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia +135, Celta Vigo +220, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+122/-143)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Valencia: 40.0%
  • Celta Vigo: 32.8%
  • Draw: 27.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Valencia vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Valencia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.0%.

The most likely correct score is Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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