Rayo Vallecano vs. Elche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Elche La Liga match on April 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Elche
0
1
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
ElcheELC
R. Nteka (74')
Soccer ball icon
P. Bigas (39')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Elche
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: C. Martin replaces J. de Frutos
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces A. Garcia
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Y. Santiago replaces Buba Sangare
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Camello replaces Alemao
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Andre Silva replaces A. Rodriguez
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: F. Redondo Solari replaces M. Aguado
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: G. Villar replaces A. Febas
  8. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by R. Nteka, assisted by A. Garcia
    0-1
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces O. Valentin
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces I. Palazon
  11. 63'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rodriguez (Elche) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Pedrosa replaces R. Mir
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Mir (Elche) cautioned
  14. 39'
    Red Card
    P. Bigas (Elche) sent off for a second yellow card
  15. 22'
    Yellow Card
    P. Bigas (Elche) cautioned

Rayo Vallecano vs. Elche: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Elche
  • Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano -135, Elche +390, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 50.7%
  • Elche: 24.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Elche (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Elche? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.7%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Elche.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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