Girona vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Villareal La Liga match on April 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
0
1
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
P. Navarro (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces A. Martinez
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: J. Roca replaces A. Ounahi
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces A. Pedraza
  4. 80'
    Yellow Card
    F. Beltran (Girona) cautioned
  5. 77'
    Yellow Card
    A. Pedraza (Villarreal) cautioned
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Frances replaces D. Blind
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: T. Lemar replaces I. Martin
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Buchanan replaces N. Pepe
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Gonzalez replaces A. Moleiro
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Freeman replaces S. Mourino
  11. 53'
    Yellow Card
    Vitor Reis (Girona) cautioned
  12. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by P. Navarro (o.g.)
    0-1
  13. 21'
    Yellow Card
    S. Mourino (Villarreal) cautioned
  14. 12'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces V. Vanat

Girona vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Villareal
  • Date: Monday, April 6, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +210, Villareal +138, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 33.1%
  • Villareal: 42.2%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Villareal (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Girona vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.2%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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