Villareal vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on March 20, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
1
3
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villareal
Estadio de la Ceramica
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
G. Moreno (7')
Soccer ball icon
G. Mikautadze (15')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pepe (23')
Soccer ball icon
L. Sucic (47')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Villareal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces S. Comesana
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces P. Gueye
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces G. Mikautadze
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces M. Oyarzabal
  6. 78'
    Yellow Card
    G. Guedes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Buchanan replaces G. Moreno
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Gonzalez replaces A. Moleiro
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces B. Mendez
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Elustondo replaces J. Aramburu
  11. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Caleta-Car replaces I. Zubeldia
  12. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by L. Sucic
    1-3
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces J. Gorrotxategi
  14. 38'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  15. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by N. Pepe, assisted by G. Mikautadze
    0-3
  16. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Mikautadze
    0-2
  17. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno, assisted by S. Comesana
    0-1

Villareal vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal -105, Real Sociedad +280, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Villareal: 48.4%
  • Real Sociedad: 27.4%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Villareal 1-1 Real Sociedad (11.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Villareal vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.4%.

The most likely correct score is Villareal 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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