Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna La Liga match on March 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
1
3
Mar 15, 4:00 PM ET Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Mar 15, 4:00 PM ET Reale Arena
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (24')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (28')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (52')
Soccer ball icon
V. Munoz (77')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Wesley replaces A. Barrenetxea
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Osambela replaces J. Moncayola
82'
Yellow Card
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
O. Oskarsson (Real Sociedad) cautioned
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by V. Munoz, assisted by K. Barja
1-3
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces A. Oroz
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces Y. Herrera
66'
Yellow Card
P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces G. Guedes
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Y. Herrera replaces B. Turrientes
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces B. Mendez
59'
Yellow Card
B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Herrando replaces A. Catena
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by B. Turrientes
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces L. Torro
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces R. Moro
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by B. Turrientes
0-2
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
0-1

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Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad -105, Osasuna +310, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 48.9%
  • Osasuna: 25.6%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Osasuna (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.9%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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