Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna La Liga match on March 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Osasuna
1
3
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Reale Arena
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (24')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (28')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (52')
Soccer ball icon
V. Munoz (77')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: Wesley replaces A. Barrenetxea
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: A. Osambela replaces J. Moncayola
  3. 82'
    Yellow Card
    I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Yellow Card
    O. Oskarsson (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  5. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Osasuna by V. Munoz, assisted by K. Barja
    1-3
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces A. Oroz
  7. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces Y. Herrera
  8. 66'
    Yellow Card
    P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces G. Guedes
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: Y. Herrera replaces B. Turrientes
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces B. Mendez
  12. 59'
    Yellow Card
    B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  13. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: J. Herrando replaces A. Catena
  14. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by B. Turrientes
    0-3
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces L. Torro
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces R. Moro
  17. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by B. Turrientes
    0-2
  18. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
    0-1

Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad -105, Osasuna +310, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 48.9%
  • Osasuna: 25.6%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Osasuna (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.9%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.