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Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna at the La Liga on March 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
1
3
Mar 15, 8PM Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Mar 15, 8PM Reale Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (24')
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G. Guedes (28')
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G. Guedes (52')
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V. Munoz (77')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RSO
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
OSA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Wesley replaces A. Barrenetxea
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Osambela replaces J. Moncayola
82'
Yellow Card
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
O. Oskarsson (Real Sociedad) cautioned
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by V. Munoz, assisted by K. Barja
1-3
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces A. Oroz
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces Y. Herrera
66'
Yellow Card
P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces G. Guedes
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Y. Herrera replaces B. Turrientes
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces B. Mendez
59'
Yellow Card
B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Herrando replaces A. Catena
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by B. Turrientes
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces L. Torro
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces R. Moro
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by B. Turrientes
0-2
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
0-1

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Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad -105, Osasuna +310, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 48.9%
  • Osasuna: 25.6%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Sociedad 1-1 Osasuna, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.9% probability, while Osasuna sits at 25.6%, with the draw at 25.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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