Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche La Liga match on February 20, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Elche
1
2
Feb 20, 3:00 PM ET
Athletic Bilbao
Feb 20, 3:00 PM ET
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
ElcheELC
G. Guruzeta (64')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guruzeta (pen.) (89')
Soccer ball icon
Andre Silva (pen.) (68')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Elche
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Garcia (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: A. Boayar replaces P. Bigas
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta (pen.)
1-2
88'
Yellow Card
P. Bigas (Elche) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces I. Lekue
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: A. Pedrosa replaces G. Valera
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Williams
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: R. Mir replaces A. Rodriguez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: D. Affengruber replaces L. Petrot
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces O. Sancet
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Buba Sangare replaces Tete Morente
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: E. Garcia replaces U. Gomez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces A. Rego
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva (pen.)
1-1
67'
Yellow Card
I. Lekue (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta, assisted by Y. Berchiche
0-1
55'
Yellow Card
U. Gomez (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
L. Cepeda (Elche) cautioned
11'
Yellow Card
A. Febas (Elche) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche
  • Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -140, Elche +450, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-109)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 55.0%
  • Elche: 20.7%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Elche (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.0%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Elche.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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