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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on February 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
:
1
Feb 1, 3:00 PM ET
Feb 1, 3:00 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (88')
G. Guedes (37')
B. Mendez (83')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Athletic Bilbao
- Real Sociedad
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Ruiz de Galarreta, assisted by Y. Berchiche
1-1
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Munoz replaces P. Marin
A. Paredes (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
B. Mendez (Real Sociedad) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Gorosabel replaces J. Areso
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Wesley replaces G. Guedes
Izeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Williams replaces N. Williams
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces A. Berenguer
J. Areso (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes replaces J. Gorrotxategi
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Mendez replaces L. Sucic
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces U. Gomez
Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
J. Martin (Real Sociedad) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces A. Rego
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by S. Gomez
1-0
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad
- Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +125, Real Sociedad +260, draw +210
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+122/-148)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Athletic Bilbao: 44.3%
- Real Sociedad: 27.6%
- Draw: 28.0%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad (13.4%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score
Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.3%.
The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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