Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo in the World Cup on January 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Celta Vigo
1
3
Jan 25, 5:30PM Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Jan 25, 5:30PM Reale Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
M. Oyarzabal (17')
Soccer ball icon
D. Caleta-Car (45')
Red Card icon
M. Oyarzabal (75')
Soccer ball icon
B. Mendez (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
B. Iglesias (72')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RSO
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RCC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by B. Mendez (pen.)
1-3
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Mendez replaces L. Sucic
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Sotelo
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces S. Carreira
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by J. Gorrotxategi
1-2
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias
1-1
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces G. Guedes
64'
Yellow Card
P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces I. Moriba
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces M. Fernandez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces A. Barrenetxea
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Odriozola replaces B. Turrientes
45'
Red Card
D. Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad) sent off with a straight red card
45'
Yellow Card
B. Zaragoza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by B. Turrientes
0-1
16'
Yellow Card
L. Sucic (Real Sociedad) cautioned

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Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad +115, Celta Vigo +260, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-132)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 43.0%
  • Celta Vigo: 29.8%
  • Draw: 27.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.0%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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