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Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo La Liga game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
3
Jan 25, 5:30PM Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Jan 25, 5:30PM Reale Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
M. Oyarzabal (17')
D. Caleta-Car (45')
M. Oyarzabal (75')
B. Mendez (pen.) (90')
B. Iglesias (72')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RSO
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RCC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by B. Mendez (pen.)
1-3
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Mendez replaces L. Sucic
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Sotelo
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces S. Carreira
75'
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by J. Gorrotxategi
1-2
72'
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias
1-1
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces G. Guedes
64'
Yellow Card
P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces I. Moriba
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces M. Fernandez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces A. Barrenetxea
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Odriozola replaces B. Turrientes
45'
Red Card
D. Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad) sent off with a straight red card
45'
Yellow Card
B. Zaragoza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
17'
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by B. Turrientes
0-1
16'
Yellow Card
L. Sucic (Real Sociedad) cautioned

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Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Sociedad +115, Celta Vigo +260, Draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+108/-132)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 43.0%
  • Celta Vigo: 29.8%
  • Draw: 27.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Sociedad a win probability of 43.0%, while Celta Vigo has a win probability of 29.8%. The chance of a draw is 27.2%.

Summary

Our Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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