Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on January 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
3
Jan 25, 12:30 PM ET Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Jan 25, 12:30 PM ET Reale Arena
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
M. Oyarzabal (17')
Soccer ball icon
D. Caleta-Car (45')
Red Card icon
M. Oyarzabal (75')
Soccer ball icon
B. Mendez (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
B. Iglesias (72')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by B. Mendez (pen.)
1-3
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Mendez replaces L. Sucic
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Sotelo
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces S. Carreira
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by J. Gorrotxategi
1-2
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias
1-1
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces G. Guedes
64'
Yellow Card
P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces I. Moriba
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces M. Fernandez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces A. Barrenetxea
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Odriozola replaces B. Turrientes
45'
Red Card
D. Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad) sent off with a straight red card
45'
Yellow Card
B. Zaragoza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by B. Turrientes
0-1
16'
Yellow Card
L. Sucic (Real Sociedad) cautioned

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Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad +115, Celta Vigo +260, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-132)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 43.0%
  • Celta Vigo: 29.8%
  • Draw: 27.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.0%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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