Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao in the World Cup on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Athletic Bilbao
2
3
Jan 17, 3:15 PM Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca
Jan 17, 3:15 PM Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
MallorcaMCA
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
V. Muriqi (5')
Soccer ball icon
V. Muriqi (42')
Soccer ball icon
V. Muriqi (pen.) (69')
Soccer ball icon
U. Gomez (8')
Soccer ball icon
N. Williams (45')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guruzeta (70')
Red Card icon
U. Gomez (71')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MCA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: J. Llabres replaces S. Darder
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: J. Mojica replaces T. Lato
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: P. Torre replaces J. Virgili
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Gorosabel replaces J. Areso
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: A. Sanchez replaces M. Joseph
73'
Yellow Card
O. Sancet (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces N. Williams
72'
Yellow Card
A. Boiro (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
I. Lekue (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
71'
Red Card
U. Gomez (Ath Bilbao) sent off with a straight red card
70'
Red Card
G. Guruzeta (Ath Bilbao) sent off for a second yellow card
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi (pen.)
2-3
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Williams replaces A. Berenguer
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. Sancet replaces U. Gomez
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by N. Williams, assisted by U. Gomez
2-2
45'
Yellow Card
J. Areso (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
G. Guruzeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
42'
Penalty missed by V. Muriqi for Mallorca
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi
1-2
40'
Yellow Card
D. Vivian (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
M. Kumbulla (Mallorca) cautioned
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by U. Gomez, assisted by G. Guruzeta
1-1
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi, assisted by S. Darder
0-1

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Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mallorca +270, Athletic Bilbao +120, draw +215
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-170)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Mallorca: 27.6%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 45.0%
  • Draw: 27.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Mallorca 0-1 Athletic Bilbao.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.0%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.