Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on January 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
M. Alonso (pen.) (88')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces O. Mingueza
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    H. Alvarez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    O. Mingueza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by M. Alonso (pen.)
    1-0
  5. 86'
    Yellow Card
    B. Mendy (Sevilla) cautioned
  6. 84'
    Yellow Card
    C. Giraldez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: M. Sierra replaces J. Sanchez
  8. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: T. Nianzou replaces K. Salas
  9. 75'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Januzaj replaces R. Vargas
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces J. El Abdellaoui
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces B. Zaragoza
  13. 61'
    Yellow Card
    I. Romero (Sevilla) cautioned
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces I. Romero
  15. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: R. Vargas replaces Peque
  16. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: P. Duran replaces B. Iglesias
  17. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces I. Aspas
  18. 34'
    Yellow Card
    I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned

Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +175, Celta Vigo +195, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+136/-165)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 37.4%
  • Celta Vigo: 34.4%
  • Draw: 28.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.4%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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