Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on January 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
Jan 12, 3:00 PM ET
Sevilla
Jan 12, 3:00 PM ET
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
M. Alonso (pen.) (88')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces O. Mingueza
90'
Yellow Card
H. Alvarez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
O. Mingueza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by M. Alonso (pen.)
1-0
86'
Yellow Card
B. Mendy (Sevilla) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
C. Giraldez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: M. Sierra replaces J. Sanchez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: T. Nianzou replaces K. Salas
75'
Yellow Card
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Januzaj replaces R. Vargas
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces J. El Abdellaoui
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces B. Zaragoza
61'
Yellow Card
I. Romero (Sevilla) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces I. Romero
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: R. Vargas replaces Peque
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: P. Duran replaces B. Iglesias
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces I. Aspas
34'
Yellow Card
I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned

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Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +175, Celta Vigo +195, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+136/-165)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 37.4%
  • Celta Vigo: 34.4%
  • Draw: 28.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.4%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.