Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on December 2, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
3
Camp Nou
Barcelona
Camp Nou
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
Raphinha (26')
Soccer ball icon
D. Olmo (65')
Soccer ball icon
F. Torres (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Baena (19')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Torres, assisted by A. Balde
    1-3
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: A. Christensen replaces Lamine Yamal
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces Koke
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: M. Casado replaces Raphinha
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: D. Fernandez replaces Pedri
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces D. Olmo
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: M. Rashford replaces R. Lewandowski
  8. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by D. Olmo
    1-2
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces G. Simeone
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Baena
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces N. Gonzalez
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    G. Martin (Barcelona) cautioned
  13. 41'
    Yellow Card
    A. Baena (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  14. 36'
    Penalty missed by R. Lewandowski for Barcelona
  15. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by Pedri
    1-1
  16. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Baena, assisted by N. Molina
    1-0
  17. 14'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces J. Cardoso

Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Camp Nou

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -140, Atletico Madrid +340, draw +330

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Barcelona: 53.2%
  • Atletico Madrid: 24.8%
  • Draw: 22.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.2%.

The most likely correct score is Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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