Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on December 2, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
3
Dec 2, 3:00 PM ET Camp Nou
Barcelona
Dec 2, 3:00 PM ET Camp Nou
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
Raphinha (26')
Soccer ball icon
D. Olmo (65')
Soccer ball icon
F. Torres (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Baena (19')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Torres, assisted by A. Balde
1-3
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: A. Christensen replaces Lamine Yamal
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces Koke
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: M. Casado replaces Raphinha
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: D. Fernandez replaces Pedri
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces D. Olmo
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: M. Rashford replaces R. Lewandowski
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by D. Olmo
1-2
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces G. Simeone
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Baena
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces N. Gonzalez
45'
Yellow Card
G. Martin (Barcelona) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
A. Baena (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
36'
Penalty missed by R. Lewandowski for Barcelona
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by Pedri
1-1
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Baena, assisted by N. Molina
1-0
14'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces J. Cardoso

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Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Camp Nou

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -140, Atletico Madrid +340, draw +330

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Barcelona: 53.2%
  • Atletico Madrid: 24.8%
  • Draw: 22.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.2%.

The most likely correct score is Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.