Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• Venue: Reale Arena

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Real Sociedad +280, Atletico Madrid -105, Draw +270
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-125/+104)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Real Sociedad: 26.9%
• Atletico Madrid: 47.7%
• Draw: 25.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Sociedad a win probability of 26.9%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 47.7%. The chance of a draw is 25.4%.

Summary

Our Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.