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Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on January 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
vs.
Jan 4, 8PM Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Jan 4, 8PM Reale Arena
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 3:17AM, Dec 17
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
Atletico Madrid ATM
44.4%
FanDuel
Draw
26.7%
BetRivers
Real Sociedad RSO
28.9%
BetRivers

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Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Sociedad +260, Atletico Madrid +110, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+100/-122)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 28.9%
  • Atletico Madrid: 44.4%
  • Draw: 26.7%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Sociedad a win probability of 28.9%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 44.4%. The chance of a draw is 26.7%.

Summary

Our Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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