Alaves vs. Real Oviedo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Oviedo La Liga match on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Oviedo
1
:
1
Jan 4, 12:30 PM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Jan 4, 12:30 PM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real OviedoOVI
L. Boye (69')
Soccer ball icon
C. Protesoni (88')
Red Card icon
F. Vinas (56')
Soccer ball icon
F. Vinas (76')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Oviedo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces T. Martinez
88'
Red Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) sent off for a second yellow card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: A. Fores replaces S. Colombatto
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: J. Lopez replaces I. Chaira
79'
Yellow Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
R. Alhassane (Oviedo) cautioned
76'
Red Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) sent off for a second yellow card
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: N. Fonseca replaces A. Reina
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye
1-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces P. Ibanez
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Oviedo by F. Vinas, assisted by I. Chaira
1-0
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: H. Hassan replaces J. Brekalo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: D. Carmo replaces E. Bailly
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces D. Suarez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
45'
Yellow Card
D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Real Oviedo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Oviedo
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves -110, Real Oviedo +440, draw +200

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 48.2%
  • Real Oviedo: 22.4%
  • Draw: 29.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-0 Real Oviedo (16.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Alaves vs. Real Oviedo? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.2%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-0 Real Oviedo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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