Alaves vs. Real Oviedo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Real Oviedo in the World Cup on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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LA LIGA
Real Oviedo
1
:
1
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real OviedoOVI
L. Boye (69')
Soccer ball icon
C. Protesoni (88')
Red Card icon
F. Vinas (56')
Soccer ball icon
F. Vinas (76')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
OVI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces T. Martinez
88'
Red Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) sent off for a second yellow card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: A. Fores replaces S. Colombatto
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: J. Lopez replaces I. Chaira
79'
Yellow Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
R. Alhassane (Oviedo) cautioned
76'
Red Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) sent off for a second yellow card
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: N. Fonseca replaces A. Reina
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye
1-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces P. Ibanez
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Oviedo by F. Vinas, assisted by I. Chaira
1-0
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: H. Hassan replaces J. Brekalo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: D. Carmo replaces E. Bailly
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces D. Suarez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
45'
Yellow Card
D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Real Oviedo: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Oviedo prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Oviedo
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves -110, Real Oviedo +440, draw +200

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 48.2%
  • Real Oviedo: 22.4%
  • Draw: 29.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Alaves 1-0 Real Oviedo.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.2%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Oviedo prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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