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Alaves vs. Real Oviedo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Real Oviedo at the La Liga on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Real Oviedo
1
:
1
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real OviedoOVI
L. Boye (69')
Soccer ball icon
C. Protesoni (88')
Red Card icon
F. Vinas (56')
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F. Vinas (76')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
OVI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces T. Martinez
88'
Red Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) sent off for a second yellow card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: A. Fores replaces S. Colombatto
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: J. Lopez replaces I. Chaira
79'
Yellow Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
R. Alhassane (Oviedo) cautioned
76'
Red Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) sent off for a second yellow card
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: N. Fonseca replaces A. Reina
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye
1-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces P. Ibanez
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Oviedo by F. Vinas, assisted by I. Chaira
1-0
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: H. Hassan replaces J. Brekalo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: D. Carmo replaces E. Bailly
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces D. Suarez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
45'
Yellow Card
D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Real Oviedo: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Oviedo prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Oviedo
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves -110, Real Oviedo +440, draw +200

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 48.2%
  • Real Oviedo: 22.4%
  • Draw: 29.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-0 Real Oviedo, with a probability of 17%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.2% probability, while Real Oviedo sits at 22.4%, with the draw at 29.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Oviedo prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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