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Alaves vs. Real Oviedo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Oviedo La Liga game on January 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Oviedo
1
:
1
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real OviedoOVI
L. Boye (69')
C. Protesoni (88')
F. Vinas (56')
F. Vinas (76')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
OVI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces T. Martinez
88'
Red Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) sent off for a second yellow card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: A. Fores replaces S. Colombatto
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: J. Lopez replaces I. Chaira
79'
Yellow Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
R. Alhassane (Oviedo) cautioned
76'
Red Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) sent off for a second yellow card
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: N. Fonseca replaces A. Reina
69'
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye
1-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces P. Ibanez
56'
Goal scored for Oviedo by F. Vinas, assisted by I. Chaira
1-0
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: H. Hassan replaces J. Brekalo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: D. Carmo replaces E. Bailly
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces D. Suarez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
45'
Yellow Card
D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Real Oviedo: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Oviedo
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves -110, Real Oviedo +440, Draw +200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 48.2%
  • Real Oviedo: 22.4%
  • Draw: 29.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 1-0 Real Oviedo, which has a correct score probability of 17%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 48.2%, while Real Oviedo has a win probability of 22.4%. The chance of a draw is 29.5%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Real Oviedo predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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