Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
1
Dec 6, 3:00 PM ET
Athletic Bilbao
Dec 6, 3:00 PM ET
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
A. Berenguer (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Berenguer, assisted by N. Williams
0-1
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Gorosabel replaces J. Areso
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces O. Sancet
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Raspadori replaces N. Gonzalez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces J. Alvarez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces G. Guruzeta
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces T. Almada
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Ruggeri replaces C. Lenglet
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces C. Gallagher
33'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: D. Vivian replaces A. Laporte
28'
Yellow Card
A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
20'
Yellow Card
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
M. Jauregizar (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
12'
Yellow Card
C. Gallagher (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +190, Atletico Madrid +160, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+112/-138)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 34.6%
  • Atletico Madrid: 37.2%
  • Draw: 28.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.2%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.