Girona vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on November 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
:
1
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Ounahi (45')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (pen.) (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Carreras replaces F. Garcia
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: L. Kourouma replaces V. Vanat
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces A. Ounahi
  5. 74'
    Yellow Card
    V. Vanat (Girona) cautioned
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: Y. Asprilla replaces V. Tsygankov
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: J. Roca replaces B. Gil
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Frances replaces H. Rincon
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces A. Tchouameni
  10. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe (pen.)
    1-1
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ounahi (Girona) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Guler
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by A. Ounahi, assisted by V. Tsygankov
    0-1
  14. 42'
    Yellow Card
    P. Gazzaniga (Girona) cautioned
  15. 40'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball

Girona vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +700, Real Madrid -250, draw +440

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 17.1%
  • Real Madrid: 64.0%
  • Draw: 18.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-2 Real Madrid (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Girona vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.0%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-2 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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