Girona vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on November 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
:
1
Nov 30, 3:00 PM ET Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Nov 30, 3:00 PM ET Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Ounahi (45')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (pen.) (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Carreras replaces F. Garcia
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: L. Kourouma replaces V. Vanat
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces A. Ounahi
74'
Yellow Card
V. Vanat (Girona) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Y. Asprilla replaces V. Tsygankov
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: J. Roca replaces B. Gil
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Frances replaces H. Rincon
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces A. Tchouameni
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe (pen.)
1-1
59'
Yellow Card
A. Ounahi (Girona) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Guler
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by A. Ounahi, assisted by V. Tsygankov
0-1
42'
Yellow Card
P. Gazzaniga (Girona) cautioned
40'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball

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Girona vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +700, Real Madrid -250, draw +440

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 17.1%
  • Real Madrid: 64.0%
  • Draw: 18.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-2 Real Madrid (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Girona vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.0%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-2 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Girona vs. Real Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.