Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on November 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
3
1
Nov 22, 12:30 PM ET Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Nov 22, 12:30 PM ET Estadio El Sadar
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
A. Catena (42')
Soccer ball icon
I. Arguibide (87')
Red Card icon
B. Mendez (53')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (59')
Soccer ball icon
A. Barrenetxea (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
A. Fernandez (Osasuna) cautioned
87'
Red Card
I. Arguibide (Osasuna) sent off with a straight red card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Elustondo replaces C. Soler
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by A. Barrenetxea, assisted by J. Gorrotxategi
3-1
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Herrando replaces F. Boyomo
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Budimir replaces M. Gomez
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces V. Munoz
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces B. Mendez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: S. Gomez replaces A. Munoz
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Arguibide replaces J. Moncayola
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces J. Cruz
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces G. Guedes
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces A. Zakharyan
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by M. Oyarzabal
2-1
54'
Yellow Card
J. Martin (Real Sociedad) cautioned
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by B. Mendez, assisted by C. Soler
1-1
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Catena, assisted by A. Oroz
0-1
30'
Yellow Card
B. Mendez (Real Sociedad) cautioned

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Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +170, Real Sociedad +195, draw +205
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Osasuna: 37.4%
  • Real Sociedad: 33.8%
  • Draw: 28.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad (13.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Osasuna is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.4%.

The most likely correct score is Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.