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Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on November 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Real Madrid
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Nov 9, 3:15PM Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Nov 9, 3:15PM Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RVC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces A. Garcia
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces F. Valverde
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces U. Lopez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces E. Camavinga
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces I. Palazon
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Valentin replaces J. de Frutos
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces B. Diaz
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Eder Militao replaces D. Huijsen
45'
Yellow Card
J. de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
B. Diaz (Real Madrid) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
A. Garcia (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
27'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces P. Diaz
15'
Yellow Card
A. Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

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Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Rayo Vallecano +540, Real Madrid -190, Draw +380

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 19.3%
  • Real Madrid: 59.6%
  • Draw: 21.1%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Rayo Vallecano a win probability of 19.3%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 59.6%. The chance of a draw is 21.1%.

Summary

Our Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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