Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on November 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
4
:
4
Old Trafford
Manchester United
Old Trafford
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
B. Fernandes (pen.) (16')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Tielemans (44')
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J. Zirkzee (90')
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P. Dorgu (90')
Soccer ball icon
Alysson (1')
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N. Jackson (4')
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J. McGinn (pen.) (48')
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L. Goretzka (53')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester United
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by J. Zirkzee, assisted by P. Dorgu
    4-3
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by P. Dorgu, assisted by B. Fernandes
    4-4
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Z. Suzuki (Aston Villa) cautioned
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: B. Madjo replaces N. Jackson
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces B. Mbeumo
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: Joao Gomes replaces J. Manzambi
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Mbaye replaces L. Goretzka
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: G. Hemmings replaces J. McGinn
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces Alysson
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Mount replaces Y. Tielemans
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: P. Dorgu replaces D. Dalot
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: S. Lacey replaces A. Diallo
  13. 57'
    Yellow Card
    A. Heaven (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  14. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Goretzka, assisted by N. Jackson
    4-2
  15. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. McGinn (pen.)
    3-2
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: A. Heaven replaces H. Maguire
  17. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by Y. Tielemans, assisted by N. Mazraoui
    2-2
  18. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Fernandes (pen.)
    2-1
  19. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by N. Jackson
    2-0
  20. 1'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by Alysson, assisted by J. McGinn
    1-0

Manchester United vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester United 49¢, Aston Villa +240, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (66¢/35¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester United: 48.5%
  • Aston Villa: 28.7%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester United 1-1 Aston Villa (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Manchester United vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Manchester United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.5%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester United 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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