Manchester City vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Brentford Premier League match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brentford
0
3
Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Etihad Stadium
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
BrentfordBRE
J. Doku (60')
Soccer ball icon
E. Haaland (75')
Soccer ball icon
O. Marmoush (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Brentford
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by O. Marmoush, assisted by E. Haaland
    0-3
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    O. Marmoush (Manchester City) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    J. Henderson (Brentford) cautioned
  5. 88'
    Yellow Card
    M. Nunes (Manchester City) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Yellow Card
    K. Ajer (Brentford) cautioned
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: J. Henderson replaces Y. Yarmolyuk
  8. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland
    0-2
  9. 74'
    Yellow Card
    N. O'Reilly (Manchester City) cautioned
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: D. Ouattara replaces M. Damsgaard
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: V. Janelt replaces A. Hickey
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces T. Reijnders
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: O. Marmoush replaces R. Cherki
  14. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by J. Doku
    0-1
  15. 36'
    Yellow Card
    B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned

Manchester City vs. Brentford: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Brentford
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -260, Brentford +750, draw +500
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-275/+220)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester City: 71.4%
  • Brentford: 11.9%
  • Draw: 16.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester City 2-0 Brentford (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Manchester City vs. Brentford? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 71.4%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester City 2-0 Brentford.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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