Crystal Palace vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Crystal Palace vs. Leeds Premier League match on March 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Leeds
0
:
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Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace
Selhurst Park
Crystal PalacePAL
Score Summary
LeedsLU
G. Gudmundsson (45')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Crystal Palace
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: Y. Pino replaces B. Johnson
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: D. Kamada replaces J. Canvot
  3. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: A. Wharton replaces W. Hughes
  4. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Mateta replaces J. S. Larsen
  5. 54'
    Yellow Card
    B. Johnson (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  6. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: I. Gruev replaces L. Nmecha
  7. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Bogle replaces B. Aaronson
  8. 45'
    Penalty missed by D. Calvert-Lewin for Leeds
  9. 45'
    Yellow Card
    O. Glasner (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  10. 45'
    Yellow Card
    D. Farke (Leeds) cautioned
  11. 45'
    Red Card
    G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) sent off for a second yellow card
  12. 44'
    Yellow Card
    W. Hughes (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  13. 31'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bijol (Leeds) cautioned
  14. 26'
    Yellow Card
    G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) cautioned

Crystal Palace vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Crystal Palace vs. Leeds
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Selhurst Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Crystal Palace +175, Leeds +175, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Crystal Palace: 42.8%
  • Leeds: 31.6%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Crystal Palace vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Crystal Palace is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.8%.

The most likely correct score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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