Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on March 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
3
Old Trafford
Manchester United
Old Trafford
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Casemiro (53')
Soccer ball icon
M. Cunha (71')
Soccer ball icon
B. Sesko (81')
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R. Barkley (64')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester United
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Ugarte replaces Casemiro
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    H. Maguire (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Garcia replaces E. Buendia
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: Douglas Luiz replaces R. Barkley
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces L. Digne
  6. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Sesko
    1-3
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: B. Sesko replaces B. Mbeumo
  8. 72'
    Yellow Card
    L. Yoro (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  9. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by M. Cunha, assisted by B. Fernandes
    1-2
  10. 69'
    Yellow Card
    E. Buendia (Aston Villa) cautioned
  11. 64'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by R. Barkley
    1-1
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces J. McGinn
  13. 60'
    Yellow Card
    Casemiro (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Abraham replaces O. Watkins
  15. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by Casemiro, assisted by B. Fernandes
    0-1
  16. 41'
    Yellow Card
    O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned

Manchester United vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester United -140, Aston Villa +380, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-157/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester United: 53.4%
  • Aston Villa: 23.4%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester United 1-1 Aston Villa (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Manchester United vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Manchester United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.4%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester United 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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