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Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Chelsea in the World Cup on March 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
4
1
Mar 4, 7:30PM Villa Park
Mar 4, 7:30PM Villa Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
Douglas Luiz (2')
Joao Pedro (35')
Joao Pedro (45')
C. Palmer (55')
Joao Pedro (64')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces Joao Pedro
Substitution for Chelsea: Andrey Santos replaces C. Palmer
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Adarabioyo replaces W. Fofana
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Cucurella replaces E. Fernandez
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces M. Gusto
Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Abraham replaces O. Watkins
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by A. Garnacho
4-1
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces E. Buendia
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces Douglas Luiz
Substitution for Aston Villa: Alysson replaces L. Bailey
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by Joao Pedro
3-1
Joao Pedro (Chelsea) cautioned
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces M. Cash
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by E. Fernandez
2-1
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by M. Gusto
1-1
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz, assisted by L. Bailey
0-1
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Aston Villa vs. Chelsea: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Chelsea prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Aston Villa vs. Chelsea
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET
- Venue: Villa Park
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Aston Villa +170, Chelsea +160, draw +250
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+116)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Aston Villa: 35.3%
- Chelsea: 40.8%
- Draw: 24.0%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Aston Villa 1-1 Chelsea.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.8%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Chelsea prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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