Crystal Palace vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Crystal Palace vs. Burnley Premier League match on February 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
3
2
Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace
Selhurst Park
Crystal PalacePAL
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
J. S. Larsen (17')
Soccer ball icon
J. S. Larsen (33')
Soccer ball icon
H. Mejbri (40')
Soccer ball icon
J. Anthony (44')
Soccer ball icon
J. Lerma (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Crystal Palace
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Burnley
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces L. Ugochukwu
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: C. Uche replaces A. Wharton
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Ward-Prowse replaces H. Mejbri
  4. 74'
    Yellow Card
    H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces M. Edwards
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces Z. Flemming
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: Y. Pino replaces D. Kamada
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: W. Hughes replaces D. Munoz
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: B. Johnson replaces E. Guessand
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: C. Riad replaces J. Lerma
  11. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by J. Lerma (o.g.)
    3-2
  12. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony, assisted by L. Ugochukwu
    2-2
  13. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by H. Mejbri, assisted by M. Edwards
    1-2
  14. 36'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lerma (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  15. 35'
    Yellow Card
    C. Richards (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  16. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Crystal Palace by J. S. Larsen, assisted by J. Lerma
    0-2
  17. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Crystal Palace by J. S. Larsen, assisted by A. Wharton
    0-1

Crystal Palace vs. Burnley: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Crystal Palace vs. Burnley
  • Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Selhurst Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Crystal Palace -205, Burnley +600, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Crystal Palace: 66.2%
  • Burnley: 14.0%
  • Draw: 19.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Crystal Palace 2-0 Burnley (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Crystal Palace vs. Burnley? Prediction & correct score

Crystal Palace is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.2%.

The most likely correct score is Crystal Palace 2-0 Burnley.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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