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Crystal Palace vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Crystal Palace vs. Burnley Premier League game on February 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
3
2
Feb 11, 7:30PM Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace
Feb 11, 7:30PM Selhurst Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Crystal PalacePAL
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
J. S. Larsen (17')
J. S. Larsen (33')
H. Mejbri (40')
J. Anthony (44')
J. Lerma (o.g.) (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces L. Ugochukwu
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: C. Uche replaces A. Wharton
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Ward-Prowse replaces H. Mejbri
74'
Yellow Card
H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces M. Edwards
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces Z. Flemming
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Y. Pino replaces D. Kamada
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: W. Hughes replaces D. Munoz
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: B. Johnson replaces E. Guessand
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: C. Riad replaces J. Lerma
45'
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Lerma (o.g.)
3-2
44'
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony, assisted by L. Ugochukwu
2-2
40'
Goal scored for Burnley by H. Mejbri, assisted by M. Edwards
1-2
36'
Yellow Card
J. Lerma (Crystal Palace) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
C. Richards (Crystal Palace) cautioned
33'
Goal scored for Crystal Palace by J. S. Larsen, assisted by J. Lerma
0-2
17'
Goal scored for Crystal Palace by J. S. Larsen, assisted by A. Wharton
0-1

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Crystal Palace vs. Burnley: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Crystal Palace vs. Burnley
  • Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Selhurst Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Crystal Palace -205, Burnley +600, Draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-125/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Crystal Palace: 66.2%
  • Burnley: 14.0%
  • Draw: 19.8%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Crystal Palace 2-0 Burnley, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Crystal Palace a win probability of 66.2%, while Burnley has a win probability of 14.0%. The chance of a draw is 19.8%.

Summary

Our Crystal Palace vs. Burnley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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