Baylor vs. Arizona State: College Football Week 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Baylor vs. Arizona State prediction for Saturday, October 3, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our College Football machine learning models.
FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Baylor
55
19
Mountain America Stadium
Arizona State
Mountain America Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Baylor
    100%
  • Arizona State
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Baylor
14 10 21 10 55
Arizona State
3 10 3 3 19
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Arizona State
Baylor
1st and 17 at the ASU 31
Last Play
M.Turner rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 21. PENALTY on BAY-P.Almanza, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.

Baylor vs. Arizona State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: College Football Week 5

  • Teams: Baylor vs. Arizona State
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:30PM ET
  • Venue: Mountain America Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Baylor (+2.5, -112), Arizona State (-2.5, -118)
  • Moneyline: Baylor +145, Arizona State -140
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points (-124/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Baylor: 39.0%
  • Arizona State: 61.0%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each college football matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Baylor 23-26 Arizona State.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Baylor a win probability of 39.0%, while the Arizona State have a win probability of 61.0%.

Summary

Baylor faces off against Arizona State in college football action at Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026.

Our Baylor vs. Arizona State predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes college football props, college football futures, college football odds, and the latest college football news.