Incarnate Word vs. Texas State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Incarnate Word vs. Texas State NCAAF game on September 26, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Incarnate Word
Predicted score
18
:
48
UFCU Stadium
Texas State
UFCU Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Incarnate Word +30.0
Spread
  • Incarnate Word
    50.4%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Texas State
    49.6%
    BetRiversBetRivers

Incarnate Word vs. Texas State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Incarnate Word vs. Texas State
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UFCU Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Texas State favored at -30
  • Total (Over/Under): 66.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Incarnate Word +1650, Texas State -2800

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Incarnate Word: 3%
  • Texas State: 97%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Incarnate Word 18-48 Texas State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Incarnate Word a win probability of 3%, while Texas State has a win probability of 97%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Texas State is more likely to beat Incarnate Word in CFB action at UFCU Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Incarnate Word vs. Texas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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