Toledo vs. Louisville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Toledo vs. Louisville: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Toledo vs. Louisville
• Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• Venue: Flagler Credit Union Stadium

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Louisville favored at -6.5
• Total (Over/Under): 45
• Moneyline Odds: Toledo +205, Louisville -235

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Toledo: 31%
• Louisville: 69%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Toledo 20-26 Louisville.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toledo a win probability of 31%, while Louisville has a win probability of 69%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Louisville is more likely to beat Toledo in CFB action at Flagler Credit Union Stadium on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Toledo vs. Louisville predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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