Vermont vs. Fairfield Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Vermont vs. Fairfield prediction for Thursday, November 5, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Vermont UVM
Predicted score
72
:
74
Leo D. Mahoney Arena
Fairfield FAIR
Leo D. Mahoney Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Fairfield -1.5
Spread
  • Vermont
    49.8%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Fairfield
    50.2%
    FanDuelFanDuel

Vermont vs. Fairfield prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Thursday

  • Teams: Vermont vs. Fairfield
  • Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
  • Tip-off: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Leo D. Mahoney Arena

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Vermont (+1.5, -115), Fairfield (-1.5, -105)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points (-115/-105)
  • Moneyline: Vermont -102, Fairfield -118

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Vermont: 43.7%
  • Fairfield: 56.3%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Vermont 72 and Fairfield 73.

This is a margin of 1 points against a spread of 1.5, and a projected total of 145 points against a market line of 141.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Vermont a win probability of 43.7%, while Fairfield has a win probability of 56.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Fairfield is more likely to beat Vermont in the men's college basketball game at Leo D. Mahoney Arena on Thursday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Vermont vs. Fairfield predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.